China’s Cainiao Is Revolutionizing How Goods Get Delivered. Will the Rest of the World Follow Its Rules?

In this picture taken on November 6, 2020, an employee works in the warehouse of Cainiao Smart Logistics Network, the logistics affiliate of e-commerce giant Alibaba, in Wuxi, China's eastern Jiangsu province, ahead of Singles' Day, also known as the Double 11 shopping festival - the world's biggest shopping event - which falls on November 11.

In this picture taken on November 6, 2020, an employee works in the warehouse of Cainiao Smart Logistics Network, the logistics affiliate of e-commerce giant Alibaba, in Wuxi, China’s eastern Jiangsu province, ahead of Singles’ Day, also known as the Double 11 shopping festival – the world’s biggest shopping event – which falls on November 11. Photo by HECTOR RETAMAL/AFP via Getty Images

It might not be the slickest thing on four wheels, and it definitely won’t win any time trials, but Chinese logistics firm Cainiao’s new Xiao G delivery cart could be the future.

Every hour, the three-foot by five-foot automated vehicle picks up packages from Cainiao’s depot in Hangzhou—a city of 10 million people in China’s booming east—and tours a nearby neighborhood. Locals in pajamas pop down to meet the driverless cart at their nearest delivery point and type in a reference number. A door in the vehicle’s side pops open and the customer’s parcel can be retrieved. Xiao G heads onto the next stop, weaving ponderously through traffic via 360-degree sensors.

“It sends a message to customers after setting off and another when it arrives at a pick-up point so they know to come down,” says Cainiao engineer Long Fei. “Some models allow customers to drop off as well as pick up packages.”

In terms of innovations in logistics, Xiao G may not be as earth-shaking as the shipping container or the cargo jet. But it is the most visible aspect of a stealthy revolution powered by Cainiao, which was founded in 2014 and whose name means “rookie” in Chinese. The $10 billion subsidiary of e-commerce behemoth Alibaba says it is poised to transform worldwide trade.

How your purchases could be delivered in the future

The Xiao G is part of Cainiao’s plan to create a single ecosystem for all logistics firms across the world to plug into, allowing for the seamless transfer of goods between companies and jurisdictions. Just as myriad smartphone makers all operate on Google’s Android, Cainiao envisages thousands of independent logistics firms can operate within its system, sharing everything from labeling standards to customs information.

“What they’re doing is bigger than it appears to be,” says Jeffrey Towson, a private-equity investor and a professor of investment at Peking University in Beijing. “It might be the single most important thing happening in China’s digital space.”

Cainiao is far from a typical logistics firm, but is an open platform that allows for collaboration with 3,000 logistics partners and 3 million couriers—including the top 15 delivery firms inside China and 100 operating internationally. This enables merchants to choose the most cost- and time-efficient delivery option, based upon real-time data crunching of optimum firms and routes.

For consumers and manufacturers, this means a typical, 1 kg package can be sent anywhere in China within 24 hours for around 30 cents. The goal is to deliver it anywhere in the world within 72 hours for $3. (Currently, a DHL envelope under 0.5 kg from Shanghai to London costs around $100 and takes typically 5 days.) That stands to be a life-changing boon to coffee-growers in Peru, textile-weavers in Chad, medical instrument producers in Bangalore and everyone in between.

How the COVID-19 pandemic pushed logistics innovation

By putting sensors in everything—along with cameras in every warehouse and GPS on every truck and package—Cainiao aims to digitize the logistics process from top to bottom.

In China, the implications are vast for the $1.94 trillion e-commerce sector, currently the world’s largest and three times the size of its U.S. counterpart. Some 64 billion parcels were sent last year domestically but current delivery networks are piecemeal, inefficient and wasteful. Wander any Chinese city or town and it’s common to see gangs of smoking delivery drivers sorting through heaps of crumpled packages on the street. Packaging is also obscenely wasteful: order a 0.1mm protective film for your smartphone screen and you could find it turning up in a shoebox-sized carton packed with air pillows and styrofoam.

So there’s enormous scope to boost profits, and safeguard the environment, though savings on fuel, packaging and unnecessary storage. E-shipping labels alone save over 400 billion pieces of paper and offset a billion kilograms of carbon emissions annually, according to Cainiao. And then there is the cost. “China will process 70 billion parcels this year,” says Wan. “What if you can shave just one cent off each one?”

Wan is used to thinking big. After earning a doctorate at the University of Texas at Austin, he spent nine years at Amazon, eventually reporting directly to Jeff Bezos as director of global logistics strategy. He says Seattle “still feels like home” and credits Bezos for instilling an ethos of “let’s raise the bar and exceed expectations.”

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How a Unified Logistics Approach Drives the Customer-Centric Supply Chain

How a Unified Logistics Approach Drives the Customer-Centric Supply Chain

How a Unified Logistics Approach Drives the Customer-Centric Supply Chain

No matter the hurdles of 2020, Logistics was up for the challenge. It kept production running and critical supplies flowing while adjusting to the shocks in demand and supply patterns and delivering essential goods.

The industry has already begun its transformation into a pull paradigm. To adjust to a new logistics footprint, operations are catering to smaller and more frequent shipments, while increasing its stronghold in eCommerce. With shippers and Logistics Service Providers (LSPs) attempting to increase their capabilities for market share gain, gone will be reactive bulk handing, serial execution, and long planning cycles.

Now it’s time for logistics to up its game — again.

How can it morph from inside-out, efficiency-focused to a model that’s outside-in and centered around the customer experience? We believe the future of logistics is unified logistics, where shippers and LSPs can seamlessly plan, optimize, and orchestrate across nodes and networks, resulting in consistently higher customer service levels and efficiencies.

Let’s discuss the aspects that make unified logistics a reality.

Boundaryless Orchestration

Existing logistics systems are usually configured with static, pre-setup actions, and often lack advanced visibility. Even if visibility exists, the functionality does not allow timely execution. Warehouse systems may not be able to consider transportation information and vice versa.

Upstream Supply Chain Knowledge

Traditionally, transportation systems lack order visibility and updated supply chain plan information. In the warehouse, traditional distribution and fulfillment operations rely on aggregate and longer-term forecasts to plan labor schedules. The inventory positions in warehouse systems are determined by historical patterns and longer-term forecasts, causing operations to be reactive.

Digital Ecosystem and Network

The historic approach to collaboration and point-to-point integration won’t create an easy path to real-time communications for carriers and LSPs. Now with access to the digital network, shippers can tap into carrier networks, take capacity into considerations for order promising, and select last-mile delivery providers. Before, the carrier selection process was highly manual and used static rates, and now shippers can perform Dynamic Price Discovery to view freight rate quotes from carrier marketplaces.

Unified Logistics, powered by our Luminate Logistics and Luminate Platform solutions, arms shippers and LSPs with the ability to seamlessly plan, optimize, and orchestrate supply chain execution. They can gain consumer confidence by truly delivering the right product, to the right place, at the right time — even if the lot size is small.

Read more at How a Unified Logistics Approach Drives the Customer-Centric Supply Chain

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Inventory Management: We Can Do Better

Inventory Management: We Can Do Better

Inventory Management: We Can Do Better

Each day through the COVID-19 pandemic, I tune into Anthony Cuomo’s (governor of New York) daily briefings. It is my break in the day. As a multi-tasker, when Governor Cuomo broadcasts, I use the time to work out on my rowing machine.

His opening line is, “Let’s start with facts. While we all have opinions, let’s start by reviewing the facts.” When he says this, I smile and row harder. I wish that all discussions could start with the facts.

Reflection

In my day-to-day work in supply chain management, I find more encounter more opinions than facts. …most discussions are fueled by over-zealous and self-serving marketing programs. Strong opinions and egos (mostly male) abound… For over two decades, I obediently tapped my foot to technology leaders’ glibly spouting opinions. I seek facts, but I find that they are few and far between.

The lack of fact-based discovery makes me itch…

A Story

Last week on my Network of Networks call, a proud technology salesperson, let’s call him Jim, announced, “I am speaking at Logimed next week on the impact of Just-in-Time (JIT) on the COVID-19 response. Downsizing inventories over the past decade crippled the response.” As I heard Jim speak, I twisted in my seat unsure what to say.

I struggle when I hear opinions that don’t align with facts. So, let’s start with the data. (Yes, am that geeky kind-of-gal that likes to ground discussions in data.) In Table 1, I share research collected for the Supply Chains to Admire analysis on the average days of inventory by industry across the period of 2004 to 2019 by increments to match economic shifts. The period of 2007-2008 was the downturn of the recession while the period of 2009-2013 marked the recovery. (The source of this data is a syndicated data provider of public reporting termed “Y-Charts.”)

So when we start with the facts, it is clear that every industry peer group increased the days of inventory. In addition, each peer group is markedly different. So, why have we not reduced inventory?

Now I will share my opinion.

  1. Complexity. Supply chain leaders in the beverage and household products industries struggled to manage complexity.
  2. Supply Chain Leadership. With average operating margins of 20-22%, medical device and pharmaceutical companies are supply chain laggards.
  3. Supply Management. Industries like automotive pushed cost and waste backward in the supply chain.
  4. Network Design. Only 9% of companies actively design the supply chain with a focus on buffer design.
  5. Factory Scheduling. With the evolution of the advanced planning market and the growth of the market share of ERP expansionist companies, solution capabilities in factory scheduling weakened.
  6. Executive Understanding. Many executives do not understand the form and function of inventory and the need for inventory buffers.
  7. Balance in S&OP. While 82% of companies have an S&OP process, less than 50% of company processes are balanced and only 1/3 of companies actively run “what-if” scenarios.

Read more at Inventory Management: We Can Do Better

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AI This. Not So Fast.

AI This. Not So Fast.

AI This. Not So Fast.

Grounded during this pandemic, and unable to interact with clients in person, I try to write 3,000 words a day. Morning after morning, fueled by good black coffee, I type away. I share insights, based on research, for the supply chain leader. I write for this blog, craft reports from research for our newsletters, create blogs for Linkedin, and build articles for Forbes. I am also developing a framework for my new book. Stay tuned.

Frequently, when I post about an issue, a well-intending consultant or an aggressive business development executive will tout the evolution of the autonomous supply chain as the answer. The comment is usually something like, “Implement RPA or AI to solve this problem.” Or, “If you need an answer, implement my solution.” When this happens, I sigh. This type of response is just not helpful. Everyone tries to be a cool kid with over-zealous comments on posts, but unfortunately, there is no truth in advertising in the supply chain market. (If the industry were grounded in truth in advertising repercussions, there would be far fewer signs in the airports from consultants and technology providers.)

Background

The autonomous supply chain is a vision, but it is not today’s reality. I find in my Supply Chains to Admire research that 96% of companies (when compared to their peer groups) are unable to drive improvement while delivering higher performance year-over-year on a balanced scorecard of growth, inventory turns, operating margin and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC). I define supply chain excellence as year-over-year performance better than the peer group on this balanced scorecard. Ecolab, L’Oreal, and TJX are exceptions. They did it. Each company ranks in the 4% of companies beating their peer groups.

Shifts in Technology

Data science and cloud-based delivery offer promise, but supply chain planning is morphing slowly. …and at the edges. No technology company is attacking supply chain planning at the center.

Let’s celebrate that over the last two years, there were four significant acquisitions by traditional supply chain planning providers to deepen analytics capabilities:

  1. 07/2018 JDA purchases Blue Yonder (Purchase price confidential.)
  2. 11/2017 Logility acquires Halo for 9.3 M$
  3. 10/2019 Llamasoft merges with Opex (Amount not disclosed.)
  4. 06/2020 Kinaxis buys Rubikloud for 60M$

Examining The Current State

The analyst mindset is to track software evolution by taxonomy where like solutions are grouped, named and tracked. Supply chain planning is a subset of the decision support technology taxonomy. Other forms of decision support include revenue management, trade promotion management, cost-to-serve, and network design. Now in its fifth decade of evolution, supply chain planning is starting to change. The shifts are happening slowly at the edges. I am celebrating, but my hope is to drive seismic changes from the center. What we have now is not good enough, and I have my fingers crossed that COVID-19 will drive a significant and positive shift by highlighting the deficiencies.

Read more at AI This. Not So Fast.

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50 Open Source Replacements for Really Expensive Software

50 Open Source Replacements for Really Expensive Software

The “Great Recession” has businesses and consumers alike looking for ways to cut costs. That includes looking for cheaper alternatives to expensive software.

  1. Accounting: TurboCASH, Phreebooks 
  2. Business Intelligence: Jaspersoft, Pentaho, Palo BI Suite, JMagallanes, OpenReports
  3. Business Process Management: ProcessMaker 
  4. CAD: BRL-CAD, Archimedes
  5. Customer Relationship Management: Sugar Community Edition
  6. Database: MySQL, Firebird, Kexi 
  7. Desktop Publishing: Scribus
  8. E-mail/Collaboration/Groupware:  Zimbra
  9. Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP): OpenERP, Openbravo, ADempiere
  10. Gateway Security Appliances: Endian Firewall Community, Untangle
  11. Graphics/Drawing: Dia, Gimp, Inkscape, Paint.Net
  12. Office Productivity: OpenOffice.org, KOffice, NeoOffice, Oracle OpenOffice  
  13. Operating System: Red Hat, SUSE, Ubuntu, Debian 
  14. PDF Tools: PDFCreator
  15. Point of Sale: Openbravo POS, Lemon POS
  16. Project Management: OpenProj, GanttProject
  17. Speech Recognition: Simon 
  18. Video Tools: Blender, Cinelerra, OpenShot Video Editor, Kdenlive, CineFX, Avidemux
  19. Web Application Tools:  Open BlueDragon
  20. Web Site Authoring: Kompozer, NVU, Bluefish, SeaMonkey

If you have any question or opinion, feel free to send us a messageor leave your comments below

Reference: 50 Open Source Replacements for Really Expensive Software

Blue Print for Success

Falling demand, tight credit, and unprecedented economic challenges are forcing businesses to look for tools and means of reducing cost, increasing productivity, maintain-even increase customer base, avoiding costly initiatives, and improve quality. The essence of this initiative, Supply Chain Institute, is to address these problems by providing analytics, modeling capability, and execution methods to assist with the resolving of the real life business problems.

Continue reading

Announcement

Greetings All,

In response to industry needs in utilization of captured data and through visibility functions, we will start webinars on creating value by using capturing of selected array of data as BI. This is combined with risk and performance analysis to accommodate for optimality in Operational and Strategic optimality.

 

Stay tuned,

Dr. Javad Seyed

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Cloud Database for Dummies (Free E-Book)

Cloud Database for Dummies

Building a Database in the Cloud? E-Book Explains How.

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This quick-reference guide, organized into six short chapters and supplemented with helpful illustrations, provides a clear overview of the cloud and step-by-step instructions on deploying database as a service. Download the complimentary e-book today and learn how to:

  • Build a vision and business case for the cloud
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Cloud Database

Cloud database allow businesses to drive down costs while increasing business agility and IT performance. See for yourself how to save money, simplify management, and improve resource efficiency with a database cloud.

Risk, BI, Performance Management in the Context of Supply and Demand Chain Management

Risk, BI, Performance Management

Greetings;Due to overwhelming demand from colleagues, customers, and market, we will start a new lecture series on Risk, BI, Performance Management, in the context of Supply and Demand Chain. These articles will appear as lecture series as well as the Latest News on this web site. Your participation and contribution is very welcomed and appreciated. We will try to address the said topics from Analytical Approach as well as Management points of view. I look forward to your input, contribution, and comments.Best Regards,Javad Seyed, Ph.D.javad@supplychaininstitute.com