The future of supply chain risk management

The COVID-crisis has prompted a period of introspection as organisations question how to best structure their supply chains and manage their risk

Trends towards global sourcing, mobile warehousing, just-in-time production and lean manufacturing have created supply chains that are highly optimised, but also increasingly complex. When things are going well, this means cost-effective operations, less waste and companies can react flexibly and in an agile way to customer demands.

However, these trends also expose the supply chain to new, sometimes hard to recognise risks. And when there is interruption, the complexity of these supplier systems and the immediate nature of production can mean businesses are suddenly facing significant disruption with immediate impact to bottom lines, or even market share and reputation.

For instance, when governments imposed lockdowns to curb the spread of coronavirus, many firms found that manufacturing ground to a halt as the transportation of goods was interrupted. Where once a business was likely to have spares and back-ups in warehouses, just-in-time practices mean that many businesses are now left without access to the services or parts they need to operate.

Shifting sands

The uniquely volatile business environment of the past year has brought to the forefront of the business agenda the supply chain vulnerabilities they face. For some, this could signal a change in practices in the future to increase supply chain resilience – whether that’s looking at near shoring and onshoring, reintroducing back-up stock in warehouses or installing alternative production sites.

Kocher said: “What’s changing is how risk managers, management and insurers alike recognise and factor supply chain risk into their decision-making. With more and more severe supply chain interruptions materialising, businesses have started to reconsider certain aspects, such as having suppliers nearby to eliminate certain risk factors from their business activities.”

The role of risk engineering

As organisations continue down the path of introspection and question how to best structure their supply chains and manage their risk, it becomes ever-more crucial that risk managers understand the full extent of the vulnerabilities in their own production process. Kocher believes that risk engineering plays an increasingly key role in this process.

“One of the key value drivers is to understand your supply chain and the assumptions you are making about it in case of disruption. This may sound trivial, but it is a fundamental condition to be in place before conducting impact assessment, quantification, deciding on the mitigation strategy and implementing mitigation measure. A structured approach to ensure adequate understanding in sufficient depth is critical. ”

Empowering better decisions

Often, when a company considers key or critical suppliers, it is examining its supply chain with a financial lens, or with a strong focus on individual business sections. A realistic company-wide, impact-oriented view, underpinned with decades of actual loss experience, supports the identification of key exposures which may otherwise go unnoticed.

Kocher concludes: “There is no one perfect way of managing supply chain risk. The risk engineer brings to the table a wealth of experience of what the process could look like, and is able to pick up the individual client where they stand in their supply chain risk management journey, with the goal of bringing them further towards a comprehensive supply chain risk management adapted to their specific needs.”

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The Impact of Hurricanes on Transportation and How to Build a Storm Resilient Supply Chain

This report looks at data before and after Hurricane Harvey in August 2017 and dives into the true cost and volume impacts experienced by logistics customers; it also shares advice on how shippers can prepare for another 2018 challenging storm season.

2017 Tropical Storm Harvey

Hurricanes have massive impacts on transportation capacity and spend.

To better understand true cost and volume impacts, Zipline Logistics evaluated a sample of 33,000 shipments, comparing data prior to the 2017 Tropical Storm Harvey with data after the event.

Access the full report and keep reading this post for the advice you can use to prepare your supply chain for the next tumultuous storm season (Note: the Atlantic Hurricane season runs from June 1 through the end of November.)

Hurricane Impacts on Transportation

We leveraged our KanoPI shipper intelligence platform to dig deep into hurricane impacts. Here’s what we found;

Market surcharges due to hurricane activity were the costliest of added fees in 2017 with a total cost of $673,000.91.

Data shows that the Average Cost Per Load after the 8/26 hurricane went up by $159.58, or 11% and that the Average Cost Per Mile increased by 15%.

915 fewer loads moved after the hurricane (date of 8/26/2017) when compared to previous four-month period. This tells us that people were holding on to shipments that would typically have moved into key areas like Florida, Texas, and surrounding states.

Looking specifically at Florida, there was an 8% drop in volume and 3.4% drop in spending. This shows that for shipments still moved, rates were higher.

Read more at The Impact of Hurricanes on Transportation and How to Build a Storm Resilient Supply Chain

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The Impact of Hurricanes on Transportation and How to Build a Storm Resilient Supply Chain

This report looks at data before and after Hurricane Harvey in August 2017 and dives into the true cost and volume impacts experienced by logistics customers; it also shares advice on how shippers can prepare for another 2018 challenging storm season.

Hurricanes have massive impacts on transportation capacity and spend.

To better understand true cost and volume impacts, Zipline Logistics evaluated a sample of 33,000 shipments, comparing data prior to the 2017 Tropical Storm Harvey with data after the event.

Access the full report and keep reading this post for the advice you can use to prepare your supply chain for the next tumultuous storm season (Note: the Atlantic Hurricane season runs from June 1 through the end of November.)

Hurricane Impacts on Transportation

We leveraged our KanoPI shipper intelligence platform to dig deep into hurricane impacts. Here’s what we found;

Market surcharges due to hurricane activity were the costliest of added fees in 2017 with a total cost of $673,000.91.

Data shows that the Average Cost Per Load after the 8/26 hurricane went up by $159.58, or 11% and that the Average Cost Per Mile increased by 15%.

915 fewer loads moved after the hurricane (date of 8/26/2017) when compared to previous four-month period. This tells us that people were holding on to shipments that would typically have moved into key areas like Florida, Texas, and surrounding states.

Looking specifically at Florida, there was an 8% drop in volume and 3.4% drop in spending. This shows that for shipments still moved, rates were higher.

Hurricanes brought prolonged delays. Looking at the data, we can see that average transit days went from 2.65 to 2.95, which is an increase of 10.17%.

Read more at The Impact of Hurricanes on Transportation and How to Build a Storm Resilient Supply Chain

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Transportation Predictions That Will Shake-Up the Supply Chain Industry In 2018

In the book, The Living Supply Chain, the authors argue that “Speeding up the supply chain is at the root of everything that is good: improved revenue, reduced working capital, higher profitability, and less obsolete inventory.

Conversely, slowing down the supply chain is at the root of everything that is bad: working capital write-offs, reduced profitability, and slowing revenues.”

To “speed” up the supply chain is to invest in change and change will come with the digital transformation of the supply chain, which is the major focus for executives in 2018.

Much change in the supply chain industry will be due to innovative technologies for digital transformations, along with the recent tax reforms (see below), and the still-current driver shortage/capacity crunch.

The digital transformation of the supply chain will change everything – for the better.

These are the innovative technologies that I predict companies must use to undergo this transformation within their supply chains:

  1. Cloud-based technology
  2. Advanced Analytics
  3. Tracking and Tracing
  4. Supply Chain Visibility
  5. Blockchain
  6. Artificial Intelligence
  7. Predictive Analytics
  8. The Internet of Things

“In 2018, shippers must embrace change in order to succeed. Waiting and seeing what will happen is no longer an option,” adds Clark.

“Transportation management systems are poised as the fundamental tool for supply chain transformation, helping businesses to position themselves above the competition with sustainable profits and better service levels.”

Read more at Transportation Predictions That Will Shake-Up the Supply Chain Industry In 2018

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2017 Parcel Express Roundtable: Paying for peak performance

It can be hard to believe that very much happens in a year, but that theory is put to the test when it comes to the parcel express market.

In fact, over the past 12 months we’ve seen major changes in pricing from the parcel duopoly of FedEx and UPS; the accelerated emergence of regional parcel players; and don’t forget we’re all watching the increasing power and reach of e-commerce giant Amazon as it grows its own delivery capabilities globally.

These developments require parcel shippers to do whatever it takes to stay on top of their parcel game from both a financial and operational perspective. To help them along, Logistics Management has gathered Jerry Hempstead, president of Hempstead Consulting, a parcel advisory firm; David Ross, transportation and logistics director at investment firm Stifel; and Rob Martinez, president and CEO at Shipware, an audit and parcel consulting services company.

Over the next few pages, our experts offer their insight into what’s driving parcel market trends and offers some practical advice for how shippers need to re-adjust to ever-changing market conditions.

Logistics Management (LM): How would you describe today’s parcel marketplace?

Jerry Hempstead: All of the parcel carriers are doing well in volume and earnings—even the USPS is making money if you back out the Congressional mandates. And it’s clear that e-commerce is driving the volumes. To top it off, service levels this year are at record levels and are predictable and consistent.

My observation is that there’s no statistical difference between the service performance offered by FedEx and UPS across a year’s worth of activity, although FedEx offers a faster delivery on ground to about 25% more city pairs than UPS. This pressure on speeding up the promise and refining the networks to make the magic happen will only improve the consumer experience in parcel services.

Read more at 2017 Parcel Express Roundtable: Paying for peak performance

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How IoT logistics will revolutionize supply chain management

As with many other areas of the economy, the digital revolution is having a profound effect on delivery logistics.

The combination of mobile computing, analytics, and cloud services, all of which are fueled by the Internet of Things (IoT), is changing how delivery and fulfillment companies are conducting their operations.

One of the most popular methods for fulfilling deliveries today is through third-party logistics, which involves any company that provides outsourced services to move products and resources from one area to another. Third-party logistics, or 3PL, can be one service, such as transportation or a warehouse, or an entire system that maintains the whole supply chain.

But the IoT is going to change how this process operates. Below, we’ve outlined the impact of IoT on supply chain, and how IoT management will transform inventory, logistics, and more.

Internet of Things Supply Chain Management

One of the biggest trends poised to upend supply chain management is asset tracking, which gives companies a way to totally overhaul their supply chain and logistics operations by giving them the tools to make better decisions and save time and money. Delivery company DHL and tech giant Cisco estimated in 2015 that IoT technologies such as asset tracking solutions could have an impact of more than $1.9 trillion in the supply chain and logistics sector.

And this transformation is already underway. A recent survey by GT Nexus and Capgemini found that 70% of retail and manufacturing companies have already started a digital transformation project in their supply chain and logistics operations.

Asset tracking is not new by any means. Freight and shipping companies have used barcode scanners to track and manage their inventory. But new developments are making these scanners obsolete, as they can only collect data on broad types of items, rather than the location or condition of specific items. Newer asset tracking solutions (which we’ll get into shortly in the next section) offer much more vital and usable data, especially when paired with other IoT technologies.

Read more at How IoT logistics will revolutionize supply chain management

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How Big Data And Analytics Are Transforming Supply Chain Management

Supply chain management is a field where Big Data and analytics have obvious applications. Until recently, however, businesses have been less quick to implement big data analytics in supply chain management than in other areas of operation such as marketing or manufacturing.

Of course supply chains have for a long time now been driven by statistics and quantifiable performance indicators. But the sort of analytics which are really revolutionizing industry today – real time analytics of huge, rapidly growing and very messy unstructured datasets – were largely absent.

This was clearly a situation that couldn’t last. Many factors can clearly impact on supply chain management – from weather to the condition of vehicles and machinery, and so recently executives in the field have thought long and hard about how this could be harnessed to drive efficiencies.

In 2013 the Journal of Business Logistics published a white paper calling for “crucial” research into the possible applications of Big Data within supply chain management. Since then, significant steps have been taken, and it now appears many of the concepts are being embraced wholeheartedly.

Applications for analysis of unstructured data has already been found in inventory management, forecasting, and transportation logistics. In warehouses, digital cameras are routinely used to monitor stock levels and the messy, unstructured data provides alerts when restocking is needed.

Read more at How Big Data And Analytics Are Transforming Supply Chain Management

NFL Draft Lessons for Supply Chain Managers

Just like with successful football game play, having a well-developed modal selection strategy helps organizations defend against capacity concerns and score points for their bottom line by lowering transportation costs.

Every year, the NFL draft provides coaches an opportunity to re-evaluate their teams and supplement their current roster with new players to fill skill or position gaps and prepare their franchise for the future.

In a similar way, supply chain managers have the opportunity, on an ongoing basis, to review their transportation portfolio to ensure they have the right modes and processes in play to not only address the demands and the environment of today, but to face the challenges of tomorrow.

Read on to learn three important lessons supply chain leaders can learn from this year’s NFL Draft and how it applies to calling winning plays for their organization’s transportation network.

The Challenge for Supply Chain Managers

Much like NFL coaches, supply chain managers find themselves having to balance short and long term demands. Managing the demand between these two competing forces is fueled by:

  1. Ongoing disruptions: Whether on the football field or in the supply chain, disruptions can and will occur. It can be easy when everything goes according to plan, but when volatility and the unexpected cause disruption (and they always do) supply chain managers have to have a backup plan.
  2. Short-term cost-savings still primary focus: Organizations are still pressing supply chain managers to deliver more value and additional cost savings. According to a survey completed by Georgia College and the University of Tennessee, 36.7% of shippers listed reducing costs as their first priority in 2015, up from 32.2% in 2016.

Read more at NFL Draft Lessons for Supply Chain Managers

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Beware the ‘black swans’ in your supply chain

Enterprises know that merely having a supply chain involves a certain amount of risk, but few do enough to protect against the one-off, extreme incidents that can disrupt them.

That’s according to Yossi Sheffi, an MIT professor who is director of its Center for Transportation & Logistics.

Such events — sometimes referred to as “black swans” — include unanticipated catastrophes such as Hurricane Katrina, the BP Horizon oil rig explosion, the 9/11 terrorist attack, the tsunami that hit Japan in 2011, and even the Volkswagen emissions scandal.

While most risk-planning processes focus on events that happen relatively often, such as routine weather emergencies, they often ignore the extreme ones that are considered too unlikely to worry about, Sheffi argues.

While such events are unlikely, the probability that they’ll happen isn’t zero — as history has proven again and again.

“Black swans are never expected,” Sheffi said in an interview. “There are many examples of low-probability, high-impact disruptions. People don’t believe they can happen, but they do — and there will be more.”

Vendors such as Resilinc and Elementum along with IBM, SAP and Cisco are increasingly coming out with software to help companies protect themselves, he noted.

Read more at Beware the ‘black swans’ in your supply chain

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